The economic cost of long term care in Turkey

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This presentation was delivered at a workshop organised by MENARAH in collaboration with the American University in Cairo in April 2019. The workshop aimed to bring to the forefront of policy debate the scale and implications of population ageing in the region with some of its social, economic and health dimensions through a multi-sectorial forum of discussion. The workshop was well attended with over 50 participants representing key international, regional and national stakeholders.

As a case study, this presentation provides an empirical analysis of the cost of long term care (LTC) in Turkey. Using data from the World Bank, OCED, WHO and US Census Bureau, he first presented the current ageing structure in Turkey in comparison to neighbouring countries in Europe and the Middle East. He presented findings related to the current LTC system and service provisions in Turkey with a discussion of key challenges and opportunities. As part of this work, an economic model to predict LTC expenditures as a proportion of GDP was developed.

Turkey-10Apr19-AUC-Cairo

Image credit: William Iven, unsplash.com

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Director of Analytical Research Ltd, and Affiliate Research Fellow, Oxford Institute of Population Ageing, University of Oxford, United Kingdom

Mohamed is trained in engineering (MEng – Cairo University), computer science (MSc – Cairo University) and mathematical finance (MSc – CASS Business School, University of London). Mohamed started his career in in the City of London in 1990s, working as a quantitative analyst for leading global financial organisations, such as Merrill Lynch, HSBC, Mizuho and Credit Suisse, before he began to shift his focus onto quantitative social research. Since 2009, he has worked as an independent researcher in the field of social sciences with a particular drive to make use of different statistical and mathematical modelling techniques for the analysis of large and multi-dispersed data sets.

He has worked with universities in the UK, Europe, Australia and the Middle East; publishing a number of peer-reviewed articles. He has also been invited to give talks and presentations at several leading universities and organisations. His current research interests focus on exploring the potential role of mathematical dynamical systems in the field of population ageing across health and social care. Mohamed is the Director of Analytical Research ltd and an affiliate at the Oxford Institute of Population Ageing, University of Oxford.